Friday, May 14, 2010

The birth of a new megatrend?

The IT revolution; electrification; the rise of mass production; globalization. What do they all have in common? According to Harvard Business Review, they are all megatrends, and sustainability should now be added to the list.

In business terms, a megatrend – the term was coined back in 1982 by John Naisbitt in his bestseller of that name – is a major societal or economic shift that ‘force[s] fundamental and persistent shifts in how businesses compete’.

Many businesses have certainly found themselves struggling to cope with the greater expectations being placed upon them to improve the sustainability of their processes, products and services. Our regular study of experts in the field reveals that those in the know rate companies only just ahead of government, and a very long way behind NGOs and social entrepreneurs, in terms of how well they are seen to be advancing the sustainability agenda. And while some companies do seem to have taken sustainability to heart and integrated it into their core strategy – our expert panel rates initiatives like Walmart’s Sustainability Index and GE’s Ecomagination particularly highly – other high-profile campaigns like BP’s Beyond Petroleum are seen to have foundered when they came up against a succession of crises and scandals, of which the Gulf of Mexico oil spill is only the latest. Incoherent, inconsistent or insincere initiatives, it seems, aren’t impressing anyone.

But perhaps this criticism underestimates the change in mindset that is taking place within the corporate world. Despite the challenges, and setbacks like Copenhagen, the drive to greater sustainability shows no sign of abating. And as HBR points out, while government is starting to regulate as never before, companies – critically - are betting that investing in innovations in low-carbon technology and energy efficiency will pay long-term dividends. This megatrend is just getting going.

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